Short Hops at Short Stop

As the Red Sox are constituted, according to baseball prospectus, are 99.4% to make the playoffs. That being said, the Red Sox could stand pat and almost assuredly get into the postseason.

There has been much ado about JD Drew and his inability to hit anything remotely resembling a baseball, and rightly so. Josh Reddick right now is hitting out of his mind. Literally out of his mind. I could be wrong but I'm pretty sure Josh Reddick isn't a .360 hitter in the big leagues. But right now you ride the wave and let the kid rake for as long as his hot streak allows. Between he, JD Drew and Darnell McDonald they have enough of a platoon to be at least competitive in the corner outfield position.

People are clamoring for Carlos Beltran, short answer no, long answer not a goddamn chance. The strange, yet genius clause, in his contract that does not allow anyone to get compensation in the form of draft picks is extremely prohibitive. Couple that with the fact that the Mets are paying all of the freight of his hefty tag, you are then forced to give a better prospect because you aren't paying his salary.

While I would absolutely love to see Hunter Pence in the 6^th hole in the Red Sox lineup, I don't think that's happening either. The Astros are asking for a King's ransom and should get it (if they sell him) because he is still under team control through 2012 and is just entering his prime at 29.

But right now the local 9 have two holes in their lineup when JD Drew is in the lineup; the aforementioned right field, and shortstop. I could deal with 2 weak spots in the lineup if all of the rest of the contributors (Ortiz, Pedroia, Gonzalez, Ellsbury) continue to rake and have great production but SS has been a hole in the lineup and out on the diamond.

While I admire Marco Scutaro's toughness last year and at times this year, there is a reason that this guy was mostly a career super-utility man. His range is not what it was 3 years ago and his shoulder injury makes any ball he does get to in the hole an automatic single.

Jed Lowrie has not proved that he can stay on a field, he has however been voted most likely to get Ricketts in the Sox clubhouse, and after his torrid start at the plate which made his butchering of SS palatable, he can't be relied upon. He may get shut down for the rest of the year just to keep roster flexibility if he isn't up to 100% soon.

Red Sox fans have seen what an upgrade at SS can do for the overall defense going into the postseason. Who should they look at not named Jose Reyes?

Erick Aybar would be someone that I would take into serious consideration. He should have won the AL Gold Glove last year, and with the Angels not going to the postseason this year I wonder if he could be had. He isn't going to need to catered to a top 6 spot in the lineup so you can slot him in the 9 hole and let him get on in front of Ellsbury and play flawless defense the rest of the year.

What I think it would cost to get him: He is one of the best SS in the AL and it would definitely take a good package to get him. I wonder if you offered them one of Chih-Hsien Chiang or Alex Hassan and one of Felix Doubront and Kyle Weiland, and another smaller pitching prospect if they'd bite.

Jason Bartlett would be another name I would look at. The Red Sox can obviously deal with Jed Hoyer out in SD and he would require less of a package than Aybar because his bat isn't as much of a weapon.

What I think it would cost to get him: Alex Hassan is a very intriguing prospect and where he plays Left field he is definitely stuck in the minors for the next 7 years if he stays there. He is someone that could go. Alex Hassan, Yamaico Navarro, and Michael Bowden probably gets that deal done.

I don't know that there are any other SS fits for this team other than these two. But these are the two players I'd target if I want to sure up my infield.

Stay Tuned
Norton

 

Pitching Surplus?

The Red Sox enter the All-Star Break with the best record in the American League. No surprise there. The way they got there was a little surprising but nonetheless they are at the pinnacle of the American League. What could there be to quibble with? The starting rotation is in a revolving infirmary and we may have a logjam in less than two weeks.

With the last two weeks basically being filled in with spare parts or a squeaky wheel it will be a breath of fresh air to have the studs back in your staff. Here's what the Sox have set in stone: Josh Beckett, Jon Lester, and Clay Buchholz. The other 2 spots will be filled in with one of the following: John Lackey, Andrew Miller, and Tim Wakefield. Let's look at what the stat sheet tells us.

John Lackey- (6-8, 6.84 ERA, 79 IP, 14 starts, 94 hits, 5.9 K/BB, 1.544 WHIP)

Andrew Miller- (3-0, 3.57 ERA, 22.2IP, 4 starts, 25 hits, 5.2 K/BB, 1.588 WHIP)

Tim Wakefield- (5-3, 4.74 ERA, (81.1 IP, 70 IP as a starter), 11 starts, 79 hits, 4.4 K/BB, 1.273 WHIP)

John Lackey was supposed to be another 'Ace' in the rotation and up to now he was adequate in 2010, and abysmal (this is the kindest word I could think of) in 2011. His K/BB ratio is the lowest since his rookie year, his WHIP has gone up in each of the last 5 years he is hemorrhaging runs at an alarming rate while only lasting 5 2/3 per start. He can't even average a quality start because he's not getting into the 6^th inning, let alone let up 3 runs in a game. Also, he is generally unlucky; his BABiP is alarmingly high, .322. Usually this is an open and shut case, bullpen or minors. But you can't put him in the minors without an injury, and if you put this guy in the bullpen you're going to long for Frank Castillo and Jeff Suppan to be chucking BB's for the Sox. Let's not forget about the 16.5 million dollar albatross that is leaking from John Henry's payroll department every year.

Andrew Miller, while that undefeated record and sub-4 ERA looks intriguing, a deeper look into his stats really tells a better story. His 3 wins were against, the Padres, Pirates, and Astros. While I'll argue that the Pirates team this year is much improved the offense is still near the bottom in most categories. He is averaging less innings per start than Lackey, at 5.55. His BABiP is also just slightly lower than Lackey's, .315. The thing with Miller is that the other team is not getting that timely hit when there were two outs. I like what I see in Miller, who wouldn't. Lefty, Power Arm, gets on top of the baseball, finally seems to be toning down on the walks. I like that. However, while throwing 95, he may be doing things with some smoke and mirrors.

Tim Wakefield is what Time Wakefield is. A guy that's going to go out there in large part every 5^th day and he's going to battle and grind. Probably give up 4, 5, 6 runs but will at least give you length. His ERA is less than a half run more than his career ERA and in 11 starts he's averaging 6 1/3 IP per start. His K/9 is down this year but his BABiP is .257.

After looking at these numbers, you unfortunately have to take Lackey's salary into account which gives him the 4 slot (or 5). Unless he gets injured, which would nullify the debate you have to ride him for better or worse because you would not just be selling him for .75 cents on the dollar you'd be selling him for pennies on the dollar. Tim Wakefield in 11 games in the bullpen this year had an ERA over 5 and a half, and with a pitch as unpredictable as the knuckleball, his value is pretty clearly the length that he gives on the days that he pitches. Andrew Miller, while he looks like he could be a very good pitcher in the future, Wakefield being on the team for over a decade and a half has seniority and now it is his spot.

Historically, Francona has sent Wakefield to the pen for the playoffs which may very well happen again, but as for right now, Francona knows what his team needs is length. He needs to know that when his pitcher goes out there he's at LEAST going into the 6^th inning if not deeper. With Lackey and Miller (although a limited sample size) you would be putting your bullpen at risk every time they go out to the slab. Bottom line you can't have 2 guys in a rotation on a team with this payroll not getting into the 6^th inning every time out. 1 is manageable, 2 is playing with fire.

Andrew Miller however, is not going to "rot" in AAA. I think he is the second power lefty that we need for the stretch run. If he proves that he can consistently throw strikes he will be a perfect spot lefty or even alternative option on days when Bard is unavailable. He's got a .197 opponent batting average against lefties. If he's able to pound the zone for 1-2 innings at a time for a stretch run he's going to be throwing 97-100 instead of 95-97, sign me up.

Stay Tuned

Norton

Synthetically Altered

I have always been a person that has believed that you must be proven guilty before passing judgment on someone. That being said, I'd like to turn our attention to the perennial douchebag Jeff Passan's latest column on Yahoo!.

For everyone that follows baseball, even for a second, heard about Albert Pujols' fractured wrist about 2 weeks ago. He is (was?) the best player in baseball and when he goes down people know about it. Now the standard healing time for such an injury is 4-6 weeks. Pujols is now back in the lineup for the St. Louis Cardinals (16 days after the injury), and was hitting tape-measure shots in batting practice 2 days before his return to the lineup. So, you're looking at 2 weeks almost to the day after a fractured wrist and you're back in the 3-hole. Riiiiight *said in my Dr. Evil voice*

I have always been a staunch Pujols supporter, but this is really stretching the boundaries on what is possible with the human body. Unnaturally fast healing time is a byproduct using HGH and as much as we don't want to believe it I don't want to turn a blind eye because that would be irresponsible. While I'm certainly not accusing Sir Albert, I'm not sure that I can ardently defend a player that is clearly superhuman, without at least entertaining the possibility that some of his accomplishments may be synthetic.

Jose Bautista, another guy that has never failed a drug test, yet because of his relative anonymity prior to 2010 he's vilified as another PED user. It's not right! The guy was a career fringe player whose scouting reports said, ""light- tower power" when he makes contact" and now he re-tooled his swing, by shortening his swing path and getting his hands in a better position to hit a baseball. And now he hits piss missiles whenever he gets the chance. People forget that hard-work, determination, and will go a long way too in this game.

Grasping this situation is still sort of elusive. Baseball first and foremost is about entertainment. Homeruns and exciting plays bring fans to the park, butts in the buckets, asses in the seats. But, at the same time, there's something to be said about making taking an extra base, stealing home, playing hit & run, and bunting. "Small-Ball" makes real fans appreciate the nuances of the game while the long ball brings frogskins ($cha-ching$).

After thinking it through, I will not besmirch that character of Albert Pujols and his superhuman healing abilities but if he could not be so damn amazing and herculean all the time, it may go a long way for his critics to realize he is not "The Machine" and is just Albert Pujols.

Stay Tuned

Norton

Get the Chopping Block

No coach/manager/GM likes to make cuts but when players are forcing their employer's hands the Boston Red Sox were made to cut a 15 year player in the league. Mike Cameron was designated for assignment and he will not be back with the Boston, yet the Sox are still paying out 3+ million throughout the rest of the year. This signing could go down as the all-around worst signing of the Theo regime. I would put this above Lackey and JD Drew, and right on par with Julio Lugo and Edgar Renteria.

Let's think about everything that went into this signing. A bunch of stat head's told Theo that Cameron's UZR was better than Jacoby Ellsbury's so they tried to justify shifting 'Ells' to left field, and essentially nullifying the one true talent he was blessed with, speed. So you have a 37-year-old (at the time of signing) that just got let go by the Brewers, patrolling one of the largest outfields in baseball, and you've moved the younger 26-year old player to left. Because of this move Jacoby Ellsbury met Adrian Beltre and you lost your leadoff hitter for the entire year. Cameron got injured because, here's a shocker, he's 37 friggin years old, so we lost 2/3 of the starting outfield and were scrambling to play catch up before the beginning of May. I'm all for occasionally throwing shit up against the wall hoping it sticks, but you signed a 37 year old that hadn't produced like he used to in 4 years, for not one but 2 years. Oh, not only 2 years but at 7 million per year. Let's put that into perspective, that's more than Adrian Gonzalez, Dustin Pedroia, Jacoby Ellsbury and Jon Lester have made in each of the last 2 years. Alas, I firmly believe you are worth what someone is willing to pay you.

Coming into this year, Mike Cameron's job was to be a platoon player in right and just rake on lefties this year but he's hitting well below (.143) the Mendoza Line against southpaws and his defense this year hasn't been anything like he's used to. Because of his albatross of a salary, lack of production at the plate, and clearly declining range in the outfield he is the quintessential meaning of "no trade value".

Some people have asked me why you DFA Cameron instead of a lower salaried, non-established player. My answer is that I don't think their done extracting from their roster. I think once Crawford comes back, the corresponding move will be to DFA McDonald as well. Their skill-set was too redundant and neither of them have any value but I would say that the reason you keep Darnell now is that McDonald's defense has been better this year than the Gold Glover's, McDonald has a better track record of producing with limited playing time, and McDonald has a step on the old man if it came down to stealing a base. It basically came down to who has sucked more. After realizing that no one AT ALL would take on any part of a dead 3+ million dollars it made sense to cut ties. For some reason his pride says that he can/should still be a starter in this league (his bat speed disagrees, ZING!) and on this team he is not going to get his desired playing time.

Going forward the Red Sox still have needs and issues in Right Field, potentially Shortstop, the starting rotation, and a late inning power reliever.

• Looks can be deceiving but from 2007-2010 Drew has actually been one of the most productive Right fielders in the game. But in 2011 he has been one of the worst. To the point, where the Red Sox production in right field between Drew, Cameron and McDonald is last in Major League Baseball. However, conflicting reports about the Red Sox ability to add payroll if needed at the deadline. And for the first time I can't say that I blame them with regards to right field. Ownership just this year had 21 million dollars invested in right field between Drew and Cameron and I doubt they feel comfortable allocating any more funds to that black hole. This player will probably be right handed. The names that are surfacing are Michael Cuddyer (his versatility makes this a great move if they could), Josh Willingham ( This would cost more in prospects than Cuddyer because of the lower salary, but he can hit), and Ryan Spillborghs (I'd rather catch AIDS).
  


• Jed Lowrie's shoulder appears to be worse than expected and his annual inability to not keep himself on the field really is starting to become a burden for his career and this team. I don't think Marco Scutaro can be the SS for a World Series winning team. I think you may see a move here whether it's calling up 'The Kid' or making a move for a SS not named Jose Reyes.
  


• Bobby Jenks' health and ineffectiveness must be weighing on Theo's mind. So much so that he needs another reliever and I think this solution comes internally. When Buchholz comes back presumably after the All-Star Break you have a logjam in the rotation with Beckett, Buchholz, Lester, Lackey, Wakefield, Miller. I think Miller moves into the pen and spot starts occasionally if someone needs rest or gets injured and then you have two power lefties with Morales and Miller. Wakefield's value is not out of the 'pen it is eating innings as a starter. Lackey is a mental midget and if you put him in the bullpen you will lose him for the rest of the year, and probably for the duration of his contract.
  

One of the final things that has been stuck in my craw lately is the constant bitching, woe is me garbage they are doling out in their interviews with regards to interleague play. Kevin Youkilis saying, "It's not fair that we have to play without our DH". When Papi isn't hitting, this isn't a big deal, but all of a sudden he starts hitting again, and we need to "pump his tires" like he's Ted goddamn Williams. Please. The Boston Red Sox are not at a disadvantage against ANY TEAM. It is the rules. For 9 games in a row the DH can't play, its part of your schedule, it has been for 14 years, deal with it. The constant whining is not becoming as a player and I don't like it as a fan. The whole Gonzalez to right field debate (if we had a workable right fielder) shouldn't have been up for discussion. You keep the AL MVP at first base, and you tell David to sit on the bench till the 7^th, 8^th or 9^th when you will pinch hit every game. That's what should have happens. The constant Ortiz fellatiating is really getting tiresome. Thanks for '04 and you're still an important member of the team, but when the rules say that you're "position" isn't allowed to play that day, then shut your jib, and ride the pine until the manager says to swing a stick. Rant done.

Stay Tuned

Norton

Where Does the Time Go?

Hey there, Hi there, Ho there! Since the last time I've posted the Red Sox have literally been to hell and back (2-10 anyone?), Osama bin Laden got shot (IN THE FACE), and I got married (women's fantasies and dreams just died everywhere). But this here is a baseball blog so, 'tis what we're going to discuss.

It is said that you take the first 2 months to evaluate your team, the second 2 months to improve your team, and the final 2 months to reap what you've sewn. Well, what Theo Epstein has created here is a machine, with the best record in baseball and currently riding a 9-game "Back up off my shit" winning streak. Not just beating opponents but embarrassing them. Outscoring Toronto 36-5 in a 3 game series. Making the Yankees lack of pitching staff look like a Little League squad. And taking one of the Top 3 pitching staffs in baseball and sweeping them at home to start the streak off.

All this being said the first two months of the season have come and gone and it's time to ponder what the Red Sox need, going into the playoff stretch. Theo Epstein, during his tenure, has made it a habit of making a blockbuster, pulling the wool over everyone's eyes, or slinging a bunch of shit up against a wall and hoping some of it sticks. I personally think he's about to do a little bit of all of them. Right now the Sox have a few issues on their team: the skeleton that is JD Drew in Right Field, their SS defense, and one more arm in the bullpen because Bobby Jenks right now can't be counted on to be healthy and he's a question mark when he is healthy.

1. JD Drew is an issue. His defense has been OK, but he is definitely not getting the jumps on balls in the outfield that he used to and that is part of what makes his lack of consistency at the plate at least palatable. If he doesn't pick it up, he needs to go. Insert Carlos Beltran. The Mets are obviously in disarray financially from their previous owner and any salary relief would probably be welcomed. What do you think it would take to get him? Glad you asked! I think if you give them an expiring contract in JD Drew (14 mil) and Jed Lowrie (450K) the Amazins' would be foolish not to take the deal with Beltran at 17.5 million. Beltran who is finally healthy and swinging the bat with authority once again provides the Sox with flexibility (switch-hitter) and ability to play Right Field, and a proven track record of producing in the playoffs. Get him Theo, make it happen!
   
2. You may be thinking, you just gave away our starting shortstop, surely you don't think we should make Marco Scutaro our new 6. You are correct I don't think that. It's time to call up "The Kid". In a move reminiscent to the 2004 uber-blockbuster, getting rid of a past his prime shortstop for a defensive whiz to sure up your defense it's time to call up Jose Iglesias. For everyone that says, "He doesn't have enough seasoning as a hitter in the minor leagues". I DON'T CARE. Look at the juggernaut this offense is when it's clicking. If you don't make an error from July 31 until November and you can manage to hit .225, WINNING. That's when it's time to call him up. This lineup became a force when Jason Varitek, Jarrod Saltalamacchia, and Carl Crawford became viable with the sticks. When they are not automatic outs in the lineup, one through nine it's scary the productivity they can create.
   
3. The Bobby Jenks move was a GREAT signing, in theory. Get another power arm to shut down guys in the late innings on days when Daniel Bard is unavailable. That is the EXACT thing that they should be doing, the Red Sox need to find someone. If Reddick can continue to rake down in AAA he's going to build himself some SERIOUS trade value and will get himself a chance to play on a major league team elsewhere because he's not going to play here with this outfield core and Kalish in the wings. Look for someone such as Matt Capps, Joakim Soria, or Evan Meek IF AND ONLY IF Bobby Jenks can't come back healthy and be effective. Also, put me in the camp that thinks Franklin Morales is going to play a HUGE role down the stretch for the Boston Red Sox. Curt Young has a history of turning projects and young pitchers into successful, strike-throwing machines.
   

On the off chance, and I mean VERY OFF CHANCE, you think I'm wrong or I'm missing something let me know what you think. I'd gladly hear and give you my two-cents on the 2011 Boston Red Sox.

Just a couple un-related side notes:

• Dwayne Wade is the best player on the Heat, not LeBron James. He has the killer instinct of a Jordan and a Kobe, where LeBron is just Origami, folds under pressure.
  
• You can call it "Heat-Hating" if you want but honestly I've never seen a bigger pussy than Chris Bosh. His emotional collapse at the end of GAME 6, not even a game 7, was literally the lamest thing I've ever seen from a professional athlete.
  
• Dirk Nowitzki, wow.
  
• Up until the past year, I've never been much of a hockey fan. It's been all baseball all the time. But the Bruins and the entire 2011 playoff run has been one of the most compelling things I've seen since the "4 Nights in October" that the Red Sox took 4 in a row from the Yankees.
  
• Tim Thomas is one of the most unintentionally funny guys I've ever heard interviewed.
  
• Saw The Hangover: Part II, my expert opinion says, Wait until it comes out on video, unless you really like Chicks with Dicks.
  
• Justin Timberlake is STILL the best host on SNL in the last 10 years.
  

Stay Tuned

Norton

 

 

The BEST TEAM EVER Assembled

So, this is what we've been waiting since last September to behold. This team has issues but everyone freaking out about a magnified 4 game losing streak needs to take a step back. The Red Sox are not THIS BAD. But we do need to fix some things:

The Lineup- First and foremost we need some continuity and stability in this lineup and it's weird to say that the Red Sox highest paid players shouldn't be in the Top 5 in the lineup. The lineup is obviously lefty heavy but when you face 75% righties throughout the year it will even itself out.

Here's how it should go:

Ellsbury-CF

Pedroia-2B

Gonzalez-1B

Youkilis-3B

Ortiz-DH

Crawford-LF

Lowrie-SS (More on this to come)

Drew/Cameron-RF (Depending on Pitching)

Saltalamacchia-C

Carl Crawford is not a 3-Hitter on a big market team, whether he is hitting or not. He is not the best hitter on this team. That title goes to one, Adrian Gonzalez. Gonzalez needs to bat 3^rd and be in the Top 3 in at bats on this team, stop moving him. Crawford is ideally a 1, 2, or 6 hitter. But his OBP makes him a liability to hit leadoff, and he has gone on record saying he doesn't care for it. Ok, so that leaves 2^nd or 6^th. Dustin Pedroia has the 2^nd spot locked for the duration of his tenure in Boston so that spot is out, which leaves us with 6^th. You may ask why not 5^th. Because traditionally the 5^th spot is for a guy that primarily hits for power and not so much average, that pigeonholes Ortiz to a T, and with a career high of 19 HRs Crawford isn't going to cut it. The 6 hole is where he stays and may actually take enough pressure off of him because as meticulous as his work ethic is, he seems a little too awestruck with the attention he is getting in Boston.

This may actually be the biggest beef I have with Terry Francona since he started here. Anyone that knows me knows I am an avid Francona supporter. But, if Jed Lowrie isn't given this shortstop job by the beginning of May I may honestly not watch the team anymore. Watching Scutaro labor after balls and come up 2 inches shy on a dive every goddamn time is making me want to lay down naked in front of a lawnmower after taking a handful of Viagra. Lowrie's 2^nd half OPS last year was not a fluke and it is right in line with his performance when he was healthy in the minors. He is not a world beater at short, but his range and arm strength is far superior to Scutaro's and should at least be able to hold the fort down until Iglesias is ready to take over the position.

Starting Pitching- In no way shape or form do I think the starting rotation is this bad. Especially with the creepy obsession I have with our lone SouthPaw on the staff. But that being said, we must pitch better. Lester needs to find a way to get rid of his annual April funk. He's too good to be inconsistent for a month every year. It not only costs his team but is costing him hardware that could have won him a couple Cy Young Awards. Lackey needs to stop leaving the ball in the middle of the plate and then wonder why he gets his tits lit every time he toes the slab. Clay Buchholz gave up 5 hits, 4 for home runs. He actually didn't pitch as poorly as his stat line would indicate, that being said he needs to stop elevating his fastball and keep that 2-seam handy to get out of jams like he did in 2010. Josh Beckett was good for 2 innings and mediocre at best for 3. His final 3 frames he pitched from behind in the count in literally 75% of the batters. It's hard to set hitters up when they are almost always in fastball counts. I was encouraged to see him incorporating his change up back in his repertoire. Daisuke Matsuzaka is and will continue to be a #5 starter on the Red Sox and any win he gives us I will consider a bonus, but he needs to work on his fastball more often than working off of his off speed because when he actually throws his fastball for strikes he's dangerous, (see the near no-no in Philly last year). The staff will turn around, it can't get much worse right?

BONEHEAD PLAYS- There has been a lot of uncharacteristic plays for Red Sox players.

Carl Crawford missing a cutoff man in Cleveland giving up a VERY valuable second base, which lead to giving up the lead is unacceptable. Baseball 101, hit your goddamn cutoff man, 20 mil, alright?

Terry Francona not calling Jarrod Saltalamacchia back in the 7^th inning of Sunday night's game, when you have supposed Lefty Mashers on your bench in Mike Cameron and Jason Varitek was a major guffaw. I don't care that you're trying to get your starting catcher going, he was 0 for 9 going into that at bat, he hadn't had ANY good swings all weekend, and then he goes up and swings at the first pitch. Double Bonehead on Tito for letting him hit, and Salty for not at least working the count.

I'm not willing to call it a mulligan but outside of perhaps Adrian Gonzalez and Dustin Pedroia, no one looked ready to play this weekend. I'm not one to usually remark about people's weight, but Kevin Youkilis needs to find a way to trim down the spare tire. He needs to be agile at 3^rd base and he's looking more like Pablo Sandoval than Evan Longoria, not a good trait when you're on the wrong side of 30.

There have been some positives that I have seen in the first 4 games however.

• My pick of Adrian Gonzalez for MVP looks alright as long as the Sox can put together some wins throughout the season. He is a better hitter than advertised.
  
• Other than Bard's hiccup I like how this Bullpen looks, Albers is a weapon, and despite my concern for Papelbon he got in trouble and got out of it without giving up a run. It is not a good recipe for success to have Tim Wakefield throwing in 2 out of 3 games though, just sayin'.
  
• Jacoby Ellsbury looks phenomenal at the plate right now. I will still contest that he shied up on that ball in Centerfield on Saturday night because he saw JD Drew, and he definitely should have caught it, but at the plate he is locked in and it is good to see a table setter, actually setting the table.
  
• Pedroia's health was paramount for me at this season's inception, and he not only looks like the Pedroia of old but is on a mission to absolutely annihilate anyone that gets in his way. The heart and soul of the team is back, and I for one couldn't be happier for him.
  

In an ideal world we would be .500 right now but we aren't we are 4 games back of the Orioles for first place. It would be probably the biggest choke job of all time for a team with this much talent to not be in the thick of things come September and October. So I'm going to sit tight and wait through the first two months to seriously evaluate this team. But playing stupid baseball is not going to help this team, who has suddenly turned their lonely eyes to Daisuke Matsuzaka for an attempt at their first win of the season. Not the way we drew it up, my confidence in him is about the same as in our piss poor Commander in Chief, but he's out only hope for a win the first time through the rotation, and we need him.

Stay Tuned

Ryan

 

Baseball on my Mind

Official workouts start today and baseball is at the forefront of my mind in more ways than one. But I've been thinking a LOT lately about all the current issues in baseball and here's what I got:

• Albert Pujols' Contract situation- He can't leave St. Louis. They won't let it happen. He is one of the Top 5 players in baseball of all time! They would be crazy to let him go despite the validity questions about his age. This deal will get done, or at least the framework to a deal will be done by the deadline. 8 years 240 mil is my guess at this contract.
  
• For every Red Sox fan that blatantly likes to see the Yankees crumble you should start salivating when you hear CC Sabathia basically say he's going to Opt out of his contract with the opt out clause that he strategically put in there 3 years (and a weak free agent pitching class) after his initial signing. If he leaves, they won't win the division for a LONG time.
  
• I have been trying to think of an over/under on which new acquisition Heidi Watney sleeps with first in 2011.
  

1. Carl Crawford (4/1)
   
2. Jarrod Saltalamacchia (6/1)
   
3. Bobby Jenks (7/1)
   
4. Dan Wheeler (15/2)
   
5. Adrian Gonzalez (40/3)
   

• On a Watney related side note, players from other teams are now trying to Shmooze into our Watney and Red Sox Nation should have none of it! Yes JP Arencibia I'm talking to you!
  

  
  

• I could not be happier to have Joe Morgan off the airwaves on Sunday Night Baseball. Schulman, Valentine and Hershiser will be a breath of fresh air. And I for one am glad to not hear a mic'd up Joe Morgan talking to Robinson Cano every time the Yankees are on SNB.
  
• The Brewers and Athletics have a legitimate chance to be SCARY good.
  

Pre-Season Awards Predictions-

American League MVP- Adrian Gonzalez (.320 avg, 48 HRs, 145RBI)

I don't believe the hype, because it's not hype, he is going from a cavernous park where he hits 40 dingers to essentially a Little League field. I, like Buster Olney, think he's going to put up the most ridiculous numbers you have seen since the pre-steroid testing era.

American League Cy Young- Brett Anderson (21-8, 2.95 ERA, 205Ks)

This is a gamble here especially when Jon Lester is going to plow through everyone and I know it here. But the eye test tells me that this is going to be the year Anderson stays healthy and puts up MONSTER numbers and establishes himself as the Ace of the Oakland Athletics.

American League Rookie of the Year- Jeremy Hellickson ( 13-9 4.10 ERA, 170Ks)

This kid is a stud. With the trade of Matt Garza he has essentially been given the number 5 spot and I could see him vaulting up into a higher spot in the rotation as the season goes along. He's a rookie so he should hit his bumps but a 13-9 season in the AL East as a rookie is like going 17-6 in the AL West.

American League Comeback Player of the Year- Justin Morneau (.280 avg, 31 HRs, 109 RBI)

He played half a season last year and the lineup definitely lacked that deep threat (yet again) against the Yankees in the first round. I think he comes back on a mission for the Twinkies.

AL Sleeper(s)- Derek Holland or Jed Lowrie

Holland is a power lefty for Texas that is going to desperately need some people in their rotation to step up with the absence of Cliff Lee, and Holland has shown a few flashes of brilliance and this could be the year he picks it up. I am convinced at some point the Red Sox will hand the job over to Jed Lowrie who looks to finally be healthy from his bout with every disease spanning from Rickets to Polio.

AL Stinker(s)- Torri Hunter

I think this is finally the year we see Torri Hunter dip. He already made the move to a corner outfield position and while his career has been spectacular I'm sensing this is the end for his run at being elite.

National League MVP- Andre Ethier (.338 avg, 38 HRs, 131 RBI)

Every year it's Pujols' award to lose. That being said, I think this is the year that Andre Ethier announces his presence with authority and really becomes a force to be reckoned with in the National League and gets the hardware to come along with it. He is the prototypical #3 hitter and the Dodgers have a stud on their hands.

National League Cy Young- Cole Hamels (20-9, 3.10 ERA, 189Ks)

Cole Hamels is the number 4 pitcher in the Phillies rotation and if he's matched up against most other teams 4's and 5's throughout the year, he's going to rack up a LOT of wins.

National League Rookie of the Year- Freddie Freeman (.278 avg, 26 HRs, 81 RBI)

He's Jayson Heyward's roommate and is one of the most highly touted prospects in the nation. He will fit right in with the Atlanta Braves.

National League Comeback Player of the Year- Chipper Jones (.288 avg, 19 HRs, 89 RBI)

Chipper is back for one last hurrah and I think he's going to go out on top and cement himself as one of the top 2 switch hitters of all time.

NL Sleeper- Jose Reyes

He's ranked pretty high in fantasy baseball standings so I don't know how much of a sleeper he is but he is in the best physical condition that he has been in, in 3 years, and it's the dreaded contract year, look for him to have a very productive year to land him a mega-deal.

NL Stinker- Roy Oswalt

I don't know why but for some reason I HATE Roy Oswalt in Citizen's Bank Park. I know he pitched in a small park before but something about that fit doesn't seem right to me and there's no way all 4 of those horses perform right? I'd say look for him to have a VERY mediocre year.

That's what I got for you guys for now, but as always if you need to contact me email and the comments section are always good.

Stay Tuned

Ryan